Coppa Italia . Quarter-finals
Global 4-5
Juventus vs Inter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
37.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
LIV
1 - 3
JUV
19%
24%
57%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2008 |
INT
2 - 2
JUV
66%
20%
15%
|
90 | 94 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
JUV
0 - 0
SAM
72%
18%
10%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2008 |
JUV
5 - 3
EMP
74%
17%
9%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2008 |
CAT
1 - 1
JUV
18%
23%
59%
|
90 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
UDI
0 - 0
INT
19%
24%
57%
|
94 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2008 |
INT
2 - 2
JUV
66%
20%
15%
|
94 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
INT
3 - 2
PAR
81%
13%
6%
|
94 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2008 |
INT
3 - 0
REG
82%
13%
5%
|
94 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
SIE
2 - 3
INT
12%
22%
65%
|
94 | 76 | 18 | 0 |