Juventude Évora vs Lusitano VRSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.2%
17%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
71.2%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.4%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.9%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventude Évora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
JUV
0 - 5
LOU
20%
23%
57%
|
21 | 46 | 25 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
ALM
1 - 1
JUV
80%
12%
8%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
JUV
1 - 1
FCC
31%
22%
47%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
JUV
2 - 1
VIA
51%
22%
28%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
RED
2 - 2
JUV
23%
22%
55%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
LUS
2 - 0
MON
62%
20%
18%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
LUS
0 - 0
ATL
52%
24%
24%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
PIN
0 - 2
LUS
59%
22%
18%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | +2 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
FER
3 - 1
LUS
31%
24%
45%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
LUS
2 - 2
QUA
58%
23%
20%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |