Copa do Brasil 1/64
Global 3-1
EC Juventude vs Tocantinópolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.3%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.6%
7.1%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EC Juventude
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
GRE
3 - 1
JUV
75%
18%
8%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2016 |
JUV
2 - 0
GRE
19%
25%
56%
|
61 | 85 | 24 | +3 |
| 13 Apr. 2016 |
JUV
4 - 1
YPI
61%
22%
17%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2016 |
TOC
1 - 1
JUV
14%
24%
63%
|
61 | 36 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
GRE
2 - 2
JUV
76%
17%
7%
|
60 | 84 | 24 | +1 |
Matches
Tocantinópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
TOC
2 - 0
PAR
55%
24%
21%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2016 |
TOC
0 - 1
TOC
56%
22%
22%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
CAP
1 - 1
TOC
16%
20%
65%
|
38 | 18 | 20 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2016 |
GUR
0 - 2
TOC
42%
25%
33%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
TOC
0 - 0
INT
48%
24%
27%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |