EC Juventude vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
31.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EC Juventude
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2017 |
GUA
2 - 0
JUV
39%
28%
33%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2017 |
GOI
1 - 0
JUV
59%
24%
18%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
JUV
0 - 2
LON
30%
29%
41%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2017 |
BRA
1 - 0
JUV
39%
28%
33%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
JUV
1 - 0
PAY
39%
29%
32%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
NAU
1 - 2
ABC
61%
23%
16%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2017 |
CRB
2 - 2
NAU
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
NAU
2 - 0
GUA
51%
26%
23%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
GOI
2 - 0
NAU
56%
24%
19%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
NAU
2 - 0
BOA
45%
28%
27%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +2 |