EC Juventude vs Mirassol FC analysis

EC Juventude Mirassol FC
87 ELO 85
4% Tilt -3.9%
143º General ELO ranking 197º
21º Country ELO ranking 28º
ELO win probability
56.3%
EC Juventude
23.7%
Draw
20%
Mirassol FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.3%
Win probability
EC Juventude
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
20%
Win probability
Mirassol FC
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
EC Juventude
-10%
+9%
Mirassol FC

Points and table prediction

EC Juventude
Their league position
Mirassol FC
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
19º
19º
24
19º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Flamengo
33
66
33.5%
Palmeiras
29
62
12%
Cruzeiro
34
61
14.5%
Mirassol FC
24
58
11%
Botafogo
25
58
9%
Bahía
25
58
7%
RB Bragantino
27
57
7.5%
Atl. Mineiro
20
53
8.5%
Internacional
10º
20
53
7.5%
Fluminense
20
51
10º
5.5%
Grêmio
14º
17
51
11º
8%
São Paulo
12º
19
49
12º
9%
Corinthians
11º
20
49
13º
7%
Ceará
13º
18
48
14º
6.5%
Vasco da Gama
16º
14
47
15º
10.5%
Santos FC
17º
14
46
16º
10%
Vitória
15º
16
45
17º
12%
Fortaleza EC
19º
11
44
18º
10%
EC Juventude
18º
11
44
19º
9.5%
Sport Recife
20º
4
37
20º
35%
Expected probabilities
EC Juventude
Mirassol FC
Champion
0% 6%
CONMEBOL Libertadores
2% 34%
CONMEBOL Libertadores qualifying phase
3% 18.5%
CONMEBOL Sudamericana
22% 30%
Mid-table
31.5% 11.5%
Relegation
41.5% 0%

ELO progression

EC Juventude
Mirassol FC
Bahía
Vitória
Santos FC
Vasco da Gama
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

EC Juventude
EC Juventude
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Apr. 2025
FLA
Flamengo
6 - 0
EC Juventude
JUV
45%
26%
29%
87 87 0 0
12 Apr. 2025
JUV
EC Juventude
2 - 1
Ceará
CEA
48%
25%
27%
87 87 0 0
06 Apr. 2025
BOT
Botafogo
2 - 0
EC Juventude
JUV
43%
26%
32%
87 86 1 0
29 Mar. 2025
JUV
EC Juventude
2 - 0
Vitória
VIT
48%
25%
27%
87 87 0 0
01 Mar. 2025
JUV
EC Juventude
2 - 1
Grêmio
GRE
53%
24%
23%
88 88 0 -1

Matches

Mirassol FC
Mirassol FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Apr. 2025
MIR
Mirassol FC
4 - 1
Grêmio
GRE
41%
27%
33%
84 87 3 0
13 Apr. 2025
BAH
Bahía
1 - 1
Mirassol FC
MIR
56%
24%
20%
84 87 3 0
06 Apr. 2025
MIR
Mirassol FC
1 - 1
Fortaleza EC
FOR
37%
26%
37%
84 87 3 0
29 Mar. 2025
CRZ
Cruzeiro
2 - 1
Mirassol FC
MIR
53%
26%
22%
84 87 3 0
02 Mar. 2025
COR
Corinthians
2 - 0
Mirassol FC
MIR
68%
19%
13%
84 89 5 0