EC Juventude vs Lajeadense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.6%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
18%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EC Juventude
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
CIA
3 - 0
JUV
37%
27%
36%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
JUV
3 - 1
CIA
51%
26%
23%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
JUV
0 - 0
MET
54%
24%
22%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
BRA
0 - 1
JUV
27%
27%
46%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
JUV
4 - 0
MIR
45%
27%
28%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Lajeadense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
LAJ
1 - 1
YPI
40%
26%
35%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 1
LAJ
46%
25%
30%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
LAJ
0 - 0
SCI
7%
17%
76%
|
50 | 85 | 35 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
SLU
1 - 1
LAJ
53%
24%
24%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
LAJ
2 - 2
CAN
42%
25%
33%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |