EC Juventude vs Guarany de Bagé analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
88.9%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
6.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
<0%
+5
7.5%
4-0
11.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
13.7%
3-0
16.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.4%
2-0
18.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.2%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
5%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
<0%
+1
18.6%
9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
0.7%
3-3
0.1%
0
9%
2.1%
Win probability
0.28
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1.8%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EC Juventude
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 1
JUV
8%
19%
74%
|
82 | 49 | 33 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
CEA
1 - 3
JUV
60%
23%
17%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
JUV
0 - 0
PPE
63%
23%
15%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2023 |
ABC
0 - 0
JUV
22%
28%
50%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
JUV
2 - 1
ITU
56%
25%
19%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Guarany de Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 2
YPI
9%
17%
75%
|
47 | 70 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 1
GUA
47%
24%
30%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 0
SAN
30%
24%
46%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
MON
0 - 0
GUA
39%
25%
37%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 0
MON
36%
25%
40%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |