EC Juventude vs Guarany de Bagé analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.8%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.4%
6.8%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EC Juventude
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2022 |
POR
1 - 2
JUV
5%
13%
82%
|
75 | 40 | 35 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
JUV
0 - 0
CAX
77%
16%
7%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2022 |
AIM
1 - 1
JUV
10%
21%
69%
|
75 | 53 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2022 |
JUV
2 - 0
ECS
72%
18%
10%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
GRE
1 - 1
JUV
77%
15%
8%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Guarany de Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
YPI
3 - 1
GUA
80%
13%
7%
|
44 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 0
URS
23%
24%
53%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2022 |
NOV
2 - 0
GUA
59%
22%
19%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
GUA
2 - 2
SLU
20%
22%
58%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 1
CAX
19%
23%
58%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | 0 |