EC Juventude vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
61.7%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EC Juventude
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2012 |
JUV
3 - 0
PEL
66%
20%
14%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
CAC
2 - 2
JUV
17%
23%
60%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
JUV
3 - 2
MIR
51%
25%
24%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
MIR
2 - 0
JUV
43%
27%
30%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -2 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
BRU
0 - 1
JUV
33%
27%
40%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
CAN
1 - 3
GRE
12%
20%
68%
|
82 | 52 | 30 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
GRE
0 - 2
LAJ
90%
8%
2%
|
82 | 49 | 33 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
SCI
1 - 0
GRE
53%
24%
24%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
GRE
2 - 2
ATL
61%
22%
18%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
GRE
1 - 3
CEA
69%
19%
12%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | -1 |