EC Juventude vs Grêmio analysis


78	ELO	80
-9.9%	Tilt	2.4%
141º	General ELO ranking	151º
19º	Country ELO ranking	24º
ELO win probability

40.7%

EC Juventude

27.4%

Draw

31.9%

Grêmio

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

40.7%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%

27.4%

Draw

0-0

8.9%

1-1

12.9%

2-2

4.7%

3-3

0.8%

4-4

0.1%

0

27.4%

31.9%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

-8%

-7%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

EC Juventude

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO
04 Nov. 2006	FFL 1 - 0 JUV 50% 25% 25%	78	80	2
02 Nov. 2006	JUV 3 - 2 SAN 24% 25% 52%	78	86	8
27 Oct. 2006	SCI 1 - 0 JUV 57% 24% 19%	78	87	9
22 Oct. 2006	JUV 1 - 1 FLU 34% 26% 41%	78	80	2
14 Oct. 2006	SAO 5 - 0 JUV 70% 18% 12%	78	88	10

Matches

Grêmio

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
05 Nov. 2006	GRE 0 - 1 SCI 33% 27% 40%	80	87	7	0
02 Nov. 2006	GRE 1 - 2 FFL 47% 25% 29%	80	80	0	0
27 Oct. 2006	FLU 1 - 2 GRE 51% 25% 24%	80	80	0	0
22 Oct. 2006	GRE 1 - 1 SAO 25% 25% 51%	80	88	8	0
14 Oct. 2006	SAO 0 - 2 GRE 41% 28% 31%	79	79	0	+1