EC Juventude vs Fluminense analysis

EC Juventude Fluminense
87 ELO 87
2.5% Tilt -1.1%
143º General ELO ranking 138º
21º Country ELO ranking 17º
ELO win probability
50.4%
EC Juventude
25.3%
Draw
24.4%
Fluminense

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.4%
Win probability
EC Juventude
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
24.4%
Win probability
Fluminense
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
EC Juventude
-10%
+4%
Fluminense

Points and table prediction

EC Juventude
Their league position
Fluminense
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
19º
19º
20
19º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Flamengo
33
66
33.5%
Palmeiras
29
62
12%
Cruzeiro
34
61
14.5%
Mirassol FC
24
58
11%
Botafogo
25
58
9%
Bahía
25
58
7%
RB Bragantino
27
57
7.5%
Atl. Mineiro
20
53
8.5%
Internacional
10º
20
53
7.5%
Fluminense
20
51
10º
5.5%
Grêmio
14º
17
51
11º
8%
São Paulo
12º
19
49
12º
9%
Corinthians
11º
20
49
13º
7%
Ceará
13º
18
48
14º
6.5%
Vasco da Gama
16º
14
47
15º
10.5%
Santos FC
17º
14
46
16º
10%
Vitória
15º
16
45
17º
12%
Fortaleza EC
19º
11
44
18º
10%
EC Juventude
18º
11
44
19º
9.5%
Sport Recife
20º
4
37
20º
35%
Expected probabilities
EC Juventude
Fluminense
Champion
0% 0%
CONMEBOL Libertadores
2% 11%
CONMEBOL Libertadores qualifying phase
3% 10%
CONMEBOL Sudamericana
22% 39%
Mid-table
31.5% 24%
Relegation
41.5% 16%

ELO progression

EC Juventude
Fluminense
Santos FC
Grêmio
São Paulo
Bahía
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

EC Juventude
EC Juventude
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 May. 2025
FOR
Fortaleza EC
5 - 0
EC Juventude
JUV
44%
26%
30%
87 87 0 0
06 May. 2025
JUV
EC Juventude
0 - 1
Atl. Mineiro
ATM
52%
25%
23%
87 87 0 0
26 Apr. 2025
SCI
Internacional
3 - 1
EC Juventude
JUV
47%
25%
28%
87 87 0 0
20 Apr. 2025
JUV
EC Juventude
2 - 2
Mirassol FC
MIR
56%
24%
20%
87 85 2 0
17 Apr. 2025
FLA
Flamengo
6 - 0
EC Juventude
JUV
45%
26%
29%
87 87 0 0

Matches

Fluminense
Fluminense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 May. 2025
FLU
Fluminense
2 - 0
Unión Española
UNI
64%
21%
16%
87 75 12 0
11 May. 2025
ATM
Atl. Mineiro
3 - 2
Fluminense
FLU
49%
26%
25%
87 87 0 0
09 May. 2025
DGV
GV San Jose
1 - 0
Fluminense
FLU
12%
23%
65%
87 63 24 0
03 May. 2025
FLU
Fluminense
2 - 1
Sport Recife
SPO
46%
27%
28%
87 87 0 0
30 Apr. 2025
FLU
Fluminense
1 - 0
Aparecidense
APA
81%
14%
6%
87 63 24 0