EC Juventude vs Fluminense analysis

EC Juventude Fluminense
87 ELO 87
2.5% Tilt -1.1%
142º General ELO ranking 137º
20º Country ELO ranking 16º
ELO win probability
50.4%
EC Juventude
25.3%
Draw
24.4%
Fluminense

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.4%
Win probability
EC Juventude
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
24.4%
Win probability
Fluminense
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
EC Juventude
-9%
+4%
Fluminense

Points and table prediction

EC Juventude
Their league position
Fluminense
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
19º
17º
20
19º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Flamengo
30
63
22%
Cruzeiro
33
63
21.5%
Palmeiras
26
60
10.5%
Botafogo
25
58
8%
Bahía
25
58
12%
Mirassol FC
21
57
9.5%
RB Bragantino
27
57
5.5%
Fluminense
20
54
10.5%
Atl. Mineiro
20
53
7.5%
Grêmio
13º
17
51
10º
9%
Internacional
12º
17
50
11º
6%
Ceará
11º
18
49
12º
2.5%
Corinthians
10º
19
49
13º
5%
São Paulo
14º
16
48
14º
10%
Vasco da Gama
16º
14
47
15º
7%
Santos FC
17º
14
47
16º
5.5%
EC Juventude
18º
11
47
17º
6.5%
Fortaleza EC
19º
11
45
18º
14%
Vitória
15º
15
45
19º
10.5%
Sport Recife
20º
3
39
20º
40.5%
Expected probabilities
EC Juventude
Fluminense
Champion
0% 3%
CONMEBOL Libertadores
2% 14%
CONMEBOL Libertadores qualifying phase
3% 12%
CONMEBOL Sudamericana
30% 45%
Mid-table
27.5% 17.5%
Relegation
37.5% 8.5%

ELO progression

EC Juventude
Fluminense
São Paulo
Bahía
Palmeiras
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

EC Juventude
EC Juventude
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 May. 2025
FOR
Fortaleza EC
5 - 0
EC Juventude
JUV
44%
26%
30%
87 87 0 0
06 May. 2025
JUV
EC Juventude
0 - 1
Atl. Mineiro
ATM
52%
25%
23%
87 87 0 0
26 Apr. 2025
SCI
Internacional
3 - 1
EC Juventude
JUV
47%
25%
28%
87 87 0 0
20 Apr. 2025
JUV
EC Juventude
2 - 2
Mirassol FC
MIR
56%
24%
20%
87 85 2 0
17 Apr. 2025
FLA
Flamengo
6 - 0
EC Juventude
JUV
45%
26%
29%
87 87 0 0

Matches

Fluminense
Fluminense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 May. 2025
FLU
Fluminense
2 - 0
Unión Española
UNI
64%
21%
16%
87 75 12 0
11 May. 2025
ATM
Atl. Mineiro
3 - 2
Fluminense
FLU
49%
26%
25%
87 87 0 0
09 May. 2025
DGV
GV San Jose
1 - 0
Fluminense
FLU
12%
23%
65%
87 63 24 0
03 May. 2025
FLU
Fluminense
2 - 1
Sport Recife
SPO
46%
27%
28%
87 87 0 0
30 Apr. 2025
FLU
Fluminense
1 - 0
Aparecidense
APA
81%
14%
6%
87 63 24 0