EC Juventude vs Fluminense analysis

EC Juventude Fluminense
87 ELO 87
2.5% Tilt -1.1%
143º General ELO ranking 138º
21º Country ELO ranking 17º
ELO win probability
50.4%
EC Juventude
25.3%
Draw
24.4%
Fluminense

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.4%
Win probability
EC Juventude
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
24.4%
Win probability
Fluminense
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
EC Juventude
-12%
+1%
Fluminense

Points and table prediction

EC Juventude
Their league position
Fluminense
CURR.POS.
19º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
19º
19º
20
19º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Flamengo
33
66
41%
Palmeiras
32
62
21.5%
Cruzeiro
34
60
16%
Mirassol FC
25
58
11.5%
Bahía
28
58
5%
Botafogo
26
56
7.5%
RB Bragantino
27
56
9%
Ceará
21
51
6.5%
Atl. Mineiro
13º
20
51
8%
Internacional
10º
21
51
10º
4%
São Paulo
22
51
11º
6.5%
Fluminense
12º
20
50
12º
7%
Corinthians
11º
21
50
13º
8.5%
Grêmio
14º
17
50
14º
8.5%
Fortaleza EC
18º
14
47
15º
8.5%
Vasco da Gama
16º
15
47
16º
10%
Santos FC
17º
15
45
17º
6%
Vitória
15º
17
44
18º
10%
EC Juventude
19º
11
44
19º
12%
Sport Recife
20º
5
38
20º
41.5%
Expected probabilities
EC Juventude
Fluminense
Champion
0% 0.5%
CONMEBOL Libertadores
1% 10.5%
CONMEBOL Libertadores qualifying phase
1.5% 10.5%
CONMEBOL Sudamericana
20% 39%
Mid-table
30% 23.5%
Relegation
47.5% 16%

ELO progression

EC Juventude
Fluminense
Santos FC
Grêmio
Corinthians
Bahía
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

EC Juventude
EC Juventude
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 May. 2025
FOR
Fortaleza EC
5 - 0
EC Juventude
JUV
44%
26%
30%
87 87 0 0
06 May. 2025
JUV
EC Juventude
0 - 1
Atl. Mineiro
ATM
52%
25%
23%
87 87 0 0
26 Apr. 2025
SCI
Internacional
3 - 1
EC Juventude
JUV
47%
25%
28%
87 87 0 0
20 Apr. 2025
JUV
EC Juventude
2 - 2
Mirassol FC
MIR
56%
24%
20%
87 85 2 0
17 Apr. 2025
FLA
Flamengo
6 - 0
EC Juventude
JUV
45%
26%
29%
87 87 0 0

Matches

Fluminense
Fluminense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 May. 2025
FLU
Fluminense
2 - 0
Unión Española
UNI
64%
21%
16%
87 75 12 0
11 May. 2025
ATM
Atl. Mineiro
3 - 2
Fluminense
FLU
49%
26%
25%
87 87 0 0
09 May. 2025
DGV
GV San Jose
1 - 0
Fluminense
FLU
12%
23%
65%
87 63 24 0
03 May. 2025
FLU
Fluminense
2 - 1
Sport Recife
SPO
46%
27%
28%
87 87 0 0
30 Apr. 2025
FLU
Fluminense
1 - 0
Aparecidense
APA
81%
14%
6%
87 63 24 0