EC Juventude vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.9%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
18.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EC Juventude
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 1996 |
COT
2 - 0
JUV
46%
28%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1995 |
JUV
2 - 1
SCI
50%
26%
24%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 1995 |
VAS
1 - 2
JUV
63%
22%
16%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1995 |
GOI
1 - 2
JUV
57%
24%
20%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1995 |
JUV
3 - 1
FLU
48%
26%
26%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 1996 |
BAH
0 - 0
PAL
18%
25%
58%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1996 |
COT
3 - 1
BAH
46%
27%
27%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 1996 |
BAH
0 - 0
COT
48%
27%
26%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1996 |
BAH
2 - 1
GAM
67%
20%
12%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1996 |
GAM
0 - 1
BAH
32%
26%
42%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | +1 |