EC Juventude vs Duque de Caxias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.6%
10.3%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EC Juventude
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2009 |
CEA
1 - 1
JUV
50%
26%
24%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
JUV
4 - 1
GUA
59%
23%
18%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
ATL
2 - 1
JUV
61%
22%
17%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
JUV
1 - 2
SAO
47%
27%
26%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2009 |
POR
0 - 1
JUV
63%
22%
15%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2009 |
DUQ
1 - 4
CAM
61%
21%
18%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
PPE
4 - 1
DUQ
78%
15%
7%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
DUQ
2 - 3
FFL
21%
26%
53%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
DUQ
2 - 1
POR
23%
29%
48%
|
56 | 76 | 20 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
ABC
1 - 2
DUQ
61%
22%
17%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |