Série D Brazil Last 16
Global 3-4
EC Juventude vs Cianorte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
23.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EC Juventude
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
JUV
0 - 0
MET
54%
24%
22%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
BRA
0 - 1
JUV
27%
27%
46%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
JUV
4 - 0
MIR
45%
27%
28%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2012 |
ARA
2 - 0
JUV
40%
28%
32%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
JUV
0 - 0
ARA
52%
27%
21%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Cianorte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 1
CIA
33%
27%
41%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
CIA
0 - 0
MOG
29%
27%
44%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
0 - 1
CIA
34%
26%
40%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
CIA
2 - 1
CAC
66%
22%
13%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
CIA
2 - 1
62%
22%
16%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | +1 |