EC Juventude vs Chapecoense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
32.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EC Juventude
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2021 |
SCI
1 - 0
JUV
75%
17%
8%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
JUV
1 - 1
ATL
26%
28%
47%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2021 |
BAH
1 - 0
JUV
66%
21%
14%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
CEA
2 - 0
JUV
65%
21%
14%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2021 |
JUV
2 - 0
GRE
15%
24%
61%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
CHA
2 - 3
CUI
49%
29%
22%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
FLA
2 - 1
CHA
83%
12%
5%
|
74 | 90 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2021 |
CHA
0 - 1
COR
27%
31%
42%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
CHA
0 - 2
BAH
30%
29%
41%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2021 |
FOR
3 - 2
CHA
59%
24%
17%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |