Copa do Brasil 1/32
Global 2-1
EC Juventude vs Atlético Sorocaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.3%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
17.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EC Juventude
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
NOV
1 - 2
JUV
23%
23%
54%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2009 |
JUV
3 - 0
ISM
74%
17%
10%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
ESP
2 - 2
JUV
18%
23%
59%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2009 |
ATL
1 - 0
JUV
34%
25%
41%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
GRE
2 - 0
JUV
72%
18%
10%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético Sorocaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
ATL
2 - 6
RIO
59%
22%
19%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2009 |
POR
2 - 1
ATL
23%
22%
55%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
ATL
2 - 3
SER
66%
20%
15%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2009 |
ATL
1 - 0
JUV
34%
25%
41%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
ATL
1 - 0
UNI
59%
21%
19%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |