Juventude Caxais vs 4 de Julho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
54.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventude Caxais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2021 |
MOT
3 - 2
JCA
61%
21%
18%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
JCA
1 - 1
MOT
27%
23%
50%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2021 |
IAP
2 - 0
JCA
34%
23%
44%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | -2 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
JCA
3 - 0
IAP
56%
21%
24%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
JOS
1 - 1
JCA
52%
23%
25%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
4 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2021 |
4DE
3 - 2
SAO
7%
18%
75%
|
47 | 86 | 39 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
4DE
3 - 1
FLA
60%
23%
17%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2021 |
PIC
0 - 1
4DE
26%
25%
49%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
4DE
0 - 0
RIV
54%
25%
21%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2021 |
FLA
0 - 1
4DE
29%
25%
46%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | +1 |