Juventud vs Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
39.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventud
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
REN
2 - 3
JUV
45%
27%
28%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
SUD
1 - 0
JUV
38%
29%
33%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
JUV
1 - 2
CSM
41%
26%
33%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
JUV
3 - 1
DEP
61%
23%
17%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
PLA
1 - 2
JUV
40%
28%
32%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
PRO
0 - 2
ETS
70%
19%
12%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
DUR
1 - 1
PRO
32%
25%
43%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
BVS
1 - 2
PRO
35%
26%
39%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
PRO
4 - 0
REN
70%
18%
12%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
SUD
1 - 0
PRO
22%
25%
53%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | -1 |