Juventud UVA vs UD Fornacense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.5%
19%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
62.1%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-76%
+248%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventud UVA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
SPR
3 - 1
JUV
58%
20%
22%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
CDV
4 - 1
JUV
71%
16%
13%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
CDB
2 - 0
JUV
77%
14%
10%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
JUV
1 - 2
RHI
42%
21%
37%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
ALA
3 - 2
JUV
46%
21%
33%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
UD Fornacense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
UDF
2 - 0
MON
45%
22%
33%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
UDF
2 - 1
ATH
70%
16%
14%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
UDF
4 - 0
MER
35%
21%
44%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | +2 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
SEG
2 - 2
UDF
47%
23%
30%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
SPR
2 - 1
UDF
50%
22%
28%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |