Juventud UVA vs Athletic Fregenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.9%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
28.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-76%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventud UVA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
JUV
0 - 5
MER
23%
20%
57%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
JUV
0 - 2
UDF
19%
19%
62%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
SPR
3 - 1
JUV
58%
20%
22%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
CDV
4 - 1
JUV
71%
16%
13%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
CDB
2 - 0
JUV
77%
14%
10%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Athletic Fregenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
ATH
0 - 0
MON
17%
19%
65%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
ATH
1 - 3
SEG
30%
23%
48%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | -2 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
ATH
1 - 4
MER
25%
22%
54%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
UDF
2 - 1
ATH
70%
16%
14%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
SPR
0 - 0
ATH
60%
20%
20%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |