Juventud Unida vs Mercedes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
38.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
3º
10º
8º
25
4º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 40 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 38 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 33 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
25 | 25 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventud Unida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
ARR
1 - 0
JUU
60%
23%
17%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2023 |
JUU
0 - 0
DPA
63%
21%
16%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2023 |
CES
2 - 1
JUU
57%
23%
19%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
JUU
1 - 1
POR
39%
26%
35%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
CAM
0 - 0
JUU
67%
20%
14%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Mercedes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
MER
0 - 2
DPA
70%
18%
12%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2023 |
CES
1 - 4
MER
56%
22%
22%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +3 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
MER
1 - 0
POR
41%
25%
34%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +2 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
CAM
2 - 0
MER
59%
21%
21%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
MER
3 - 2
MUÑ
36%
24%
40%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +1 |