Copa Peru Last 16
Global 3-4
Juventud Ticlacayán vs Defensor Zarumilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.3%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
62.6%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
10%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
7%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventud Ticlacayán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
DZP
4 - 1
JTP
77%
15%
9%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Defensor Zarumilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
DZP
4 - 1
JTP
77%
15%
9%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
ADT
2 - 0
DZP
70%
17%
13%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
DZP
3 - 1
ADT
18%
21%
61%
|
14 | 33 | 19 | +4 |