Juventud Escuintleca vs Nueva Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.1%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
14%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventud Escuintleca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
ESC
1 - 0
LAG
69%
18%
13%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
AUR
2 - 1
ESC
28%
27%
45%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2012 |
ESC
5 - 0
PUE
69%
18%
13%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
SPD
2 - 2
ESC
41%
26%
33%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
ESC
1 - 0
XIN
56%
22%
23%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
AUR
1 - 1
NUE
46%
26%
28%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
NUE
2 - 1
SPD
32%
25%
43%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
COA
3 - 0
NUE
48%
25%
27%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
NUE
1 - 0
IZT
46%
26%
29%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
LAG
2 - 2
NUE
49%
24%
26%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |