Juventud Alianza vs Independiente Villa Obrera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.9%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
13.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventud Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
SPE
0 - 2
JUV
51%
23%
26%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
JUV
3 - 0
CAP
74%
16%
10%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
DEF
0 - 0
JUV
27%
24%
49%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
JUV
3 - 1
MAR
76%
15%
8%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
ACJ
0 - 0
JUV
28%
24%
48%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente Villa Obrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
CAP
0 - 0
IND
34%
24%
43%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
IND
1 - 2
MAR
69%
18%
13%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
TRI
1 - 2
IND
54%
23%
23%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
SPE
1 - 0
IND
62%
20%
18%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
IND
4 - 0
DEF
55%
22%
24%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +1 |