Juventud Alianza vs Independiente Villa Obrera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.7%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.3%
8%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+64%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Juventud Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2013 |
DES
1 - 1
JUV
62%
23%
15%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
JUV
1 - 1
ATL
70%
18%
12%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
LEO
0 - 0
JUV
17%
23%
60%
|
53 | 33 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
JUV
0 - 3
SPO
81%
13%
6%
|
54 | 24 | 30 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
ATE
0 - 2
JUV
33%
25%
42%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Independiente Villa Obrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2013 |
IND
0 - 0
ATL
35%
24%
42%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
IND
1 - 1
DES
17%
24%
59%
|
31 | 62 | 31 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
ATL
0 - 1
IND
71%
17%
13%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
IND
1 - 0
LEO
36%
24%
41%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +2 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
SPO
2 - 2
IND
37%
24%
40%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |