Jura Sud vs Toulouse II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.5%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.2%
9.3%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
3º
11º
4º
11
13º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jura Sud
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
CHA
0 - 0
JUR
29%
25%
46%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
JUR
2 - 0
FRE
47%
25%
28%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +2 |
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
SOC
2 - 1
JUR
77%
16%
8%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
OLY
1 - 1
JUR
37%
25%
38%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
JUR
2 - 0
SPO
55%
24%
21%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Toulouse II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
TOU
0 - 1
AND
21%
24%
55%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
THO
4 - 1
TOU
65%
20%
15%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
TOU
1 - 1
HYE
21%
25%
54%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
LPV
3 - 1
TOU
75%
17%
8%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
TOU
0 - 2
CAN
21%
26%
54%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | -1 |