Junior vs Unión Magdalena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.5%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
16.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.5%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.3%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.5%
5.5%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
UNI
2 - 4
JUN
26%
27%
47%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2014 |
JUN
3 - 0
UNI
68%
19%
13%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2014 |
JUN
0 - 1
MON
38%
26%
36%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2014 |
UNI
0 - 4
JUN
18%
23%
59%
|
81 | 59 | 22 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2014 |
JUN
1 - 1
CAR
73%
17%
10%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Magdalena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
UNI
1 - 0
TFC
61%
22%
16%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2014 |
RSC
2 - 0
UNI
53%
25%
23%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2014 |
CUC
2 - 1
UNI
59%
24%
17%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2014 |
CAR
7 - 0
UNI
67%
19%
14%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2014 |
UNI
0 - 4
JUN
18%
23%
59%
|
59 | 81 | 22 | 0 |