Junior vs Unión Magdalena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
22.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
JUN
2 - 0
ENV
60%
23%
17%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2004 |
UNI
0 - 0
JUN
41%
28%
32%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
JUN
2 - 1
MIL
49%
26%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2004 |
JUN
0 - 0
PER
47%
26%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
TOL
1 - 1
JUN
47%
27%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Unión Magdalena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
QUI
1 - 1
UNI
41%
26%
33%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2004 |
UNI
0 - 0
JUN
41%
28%
32%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
SFE
2 - 1
UNI
51%
26%
23%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2004 |
ONC
2 - 0
UNI
60%
23%
17%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
UNI
1 - 1
HUI
43%
27%
30%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |