Junior vs Unión La Calera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
24.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2020 |
JUN
1 - 0
TOL
38%
28%
34%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
ENV
3 - 3
JUN
30%
27%
43%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2020 |
JUN
3 - 0
CHI
66%
23%
12%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
JAG
2 - 2
JUN
17%
26%
57%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2020 |
JUN
2 - 1
ALI
53%
26%
21%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Unión La Calera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
COQ
1 - 2
ULC
35%
27%
38%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
ULC
1 - 0
UCH
36%
26%
38%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
UNI
3 - 2
ULC
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2020 |
TOL
1 - 1
ULC
56%
25%
18%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2020 |
ANT
3 - 1
ULC
40%
28%
32%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |