Junior vs Real Cundinamarca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.5%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.9%
4-0
9.8%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.7%
3-0
13.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.6%
3.9%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2010 |
JUN
3 - 2
COR
77%
15%
8%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2010 |
JUN
1 - 2
CAR
74%
16%
10%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2010 |
AME
2 - 2
JUN
34%
28%
38%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
JUN
2 - 0
SFE
63%
20%
17%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2010 |
SAB
1 - 1
JUN
24%
27%
49%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Real Cundinamarca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2010 |
RSC
0 - 0
AGU
22%
28%
51%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2010 |
UNI
1 - 0
RSC
57%
23%
20%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
ACA
2 - 2
RSC
52%
25%
23%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
BAR
0 - 0
RSC
52%
25%
23%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2010 |
RSC
0 - 0
BAR
35%
26%
39%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |