Junior vs Real Cartagena analysis

Junior Real Cartagena
79 ELO 67
16.5% Tilt -9.2%
588º General ELO ranking 642º
10º Country ELO ranking 22º
ELO win probability
74.6%
Junior
16.4%
Draw
8.9%
Real Cartagena

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.6%
Win probability
Junior
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.4%
8.9%
Win probability
Real Cartagena
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Junior
+2%
-4%
Real Cartagena

ELO progression

Junior
Real Cartagena
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Junior
Junior
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Jul. 2012
QUI
Deportes Quindío
0 - 0
Junior
JUN
38%
27%
35%
79 71 8 0
25 Jul. 2012
NAC
At. Nacional
3 - 0
Junior
JUN
57%
24%
20%
80 82 2 -1
19 Jul. 2012
JUN
Junior
1 - 3
At. Nacional
NAC
50%
24%
26%
80 82 2 0
20 Jun. 2012
UNI
Unión Magdalena
1 - 1
Junior
JUN
20%
24%
56%
80 58 22 0
02 Jun. 2012
JUN
Junior
4 - 1
Barranquilla
BAR
87%
10%
3%
80 53 27 0

Matches

Real Cartagena
Real Cartagena
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Jul. 2012
CAR
Real Cartagena
1 - 2
Once Caldas
ONC
25%
25%
50%
68 82 14 0
09 Jun. 2012
BAR
Barranquilla
3 - 3
Real Cartagena
CAR
20%
24%
56%
68 53 15 0
07 Jun. 2012
CAR
Real Cartagena
0 - 0
Real Cundinamarca
RSC
60%
21%
19%
68 64 4 0
27 May. 2012
CAR
Real Cartagena
1 - 1
At. Nacional
NAC
26%
25%
50%
68 82 14 0
24 May. 2012
CAR
Real Cartagena
0 - 5
Junior
JUN
36%
26%
38%
69 80 11 -1