Junior vs Real Cartagena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.8%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
10.5%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2010 |
UNI
1 - 1
JUN
18%
25%
58%
|
82 | 58 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2010 |
JUN
1 - 0
BAR
83%
12%
5%
|
82 | 60 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
IND
1 - 1
JUN
49%
26%
26%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2010 |
QUI
1 - 2
JUN
29%
29%
42%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
JUN
3 - 0
CAL
68%
19%
13%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2010 |
BAR
1 - 2
CAR
29%
26%
45%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2010 |
CAR
2 - 0
RSC
75%
15%
10%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
CAR
1 - 1
ENV
53%
23%
23%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2010 |
CAR
1 - 1
IND
40%
26%
34%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
COR
1 - 2
CAR
37%
29%
34%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |