Junior vs Real Cartagena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.1%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.7%
8.2%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
JUN
2 - 1
TOL
63%
21%
16%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
QUI
1 - 0
JUN
33%
28%
39%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2009 |
JUN
1 - 2
PAS
70%
18%
12%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
HUI
2 - 1
JUN
37%
27%
36%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2009 |
PAS
3 - 1
JUN
30%
29%
42%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
CHI
4 - 0
CAR
52%
26%
22%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
CAR
4 - 3
HUI
44%
26%
30%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
CAR
2 - 1
CAL
42%
27%
31%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
PAS
1 - 0
CAR
46%
30%
25%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2009 |
CAR
3 - 1
ONC
38%
26%
36%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |