Junior vs Millonarios analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
23.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2023 |
IND
2 - 1
JUN
47%
26%
27%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
JUN
3 - 2
IND
44%
25%
31%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2023 |
JUN
4 - 2
TOL
46%
26%
28%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
CAL
0 - 2
JUN
33%
28%
39%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2023 |
AGU
1 - 1
JUN
47%
26%
28%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2023 |
MIL
0 - 1
NAC
44%
27%
29%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2023 |
AME
1 - 0
MIL
42%
26%
32%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2023 |
IND
2 - 1
MIL
46%
26%
28%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
MIL
1 - 0
IND
40%
26%
35%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
NAC
1 - 1
MIL
48%
25%
27%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |