Junior vs Millonarios analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
25.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2004 |
JUN
0 - 0
PER
47%
26%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
TOL
1 - 1
JUN
47%
27%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
NAC
2 - 1
JUN
55%
25%
20%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
JUN
2 - 0
PAS
53%
25%
22%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
CHI
1 - 1
JUN
46%
27%
27%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
MIL
1 - 1
SFE
46%
27%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2004 |
HUI
3 - 0
MIL
44%
27%
29%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
MIL
0 - 1
ONC
37%
27%
36%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
IND
1 - 0
MIL
52%
26%
22%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
MIL
2 - 0
COR
67%
21%
13%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | +1 |