Junior vs Envigado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.5%
12.7%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2019 |
SFE
3 - 3
JUN
33%
29%
38%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2019 |
TOL
1 - 2
JUN
37%
28%
35%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
JUN
1 - 1
AGU
66%
21%
13%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2019 |
AME
0 - 1
JUN
27%
28%
46%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
JUN
3 - 2
IND
50%
25%
25%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Envigado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
ENV
0 - 0
PAT
37%
29%
34%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
TOL
2 - 0
ENV
59%
24%
17%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2019 |
ENV
1 - 1
JAG
43%
26%
31%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
ENV
1 - 0
ALI
43%
29%
29%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
CUC
1 - 1
ENV
57%
24%
20%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |