Junior vs Envigado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.8%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
14.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2012 |
EQU
1 - 2
JUN
42%
27%
31%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2012 |
CAL
1 - 1
JUN
51%
26%
23%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2012 |
JUN
0 - 0
EQU
67%
19%
14%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
JUN
2 - 0
PAS
54%
24%
22%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
JUN
1 - 0
CAR
75%
16%
9%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Envigado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
ENV
1 - 2
PAS
36%
28%
36%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
QUI
1 - 0
ENV
47%
25%
28%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
ENV
1 - 0
IND
42%
27%
31%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
CUC
2 - 1
ENV
31%
28%
42%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2012 |
ENV
1 - 0
SFC
67%
20%
14%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |