Junior vs Envigado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.4%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
12.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2009 |
JUN
3 - 0
CUC
66%
20%
14%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2009 |
JUN
3 - 0
SAB
80%
14%
6%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
CUC
1 - 1
JUN
38%
28%
34%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2009 |
ENV
1 - 0
JUN
32%
28%
41%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
JUN
2 - 2
CAL
67%
19%
14%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Envigado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2009 |
CAL
2 - 1
ENV
57%
23%
20%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2009 |
LEO
1 - 2
ENV
31%
25%
43%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2009 |
ENV
0 - 0
CAL
40%
28%
32%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2009 |
ENV
1 - 0
JUN
32%
28%
41%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
CUC
1 - 1
ENV
51%
26%
24%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |