Junior vs Deportes Tolima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
34.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2019 |
PAS
1 - 0
JUN
33%
28%
39%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
JUN
1 - 0
PAS
52%
27%
21%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2019 |
NAC
2 - 3
JUN
50%
26%
24%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2019 |
JUN
2 - 0
CAL
46%
27%
27%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2019 |
TOL
1 - 1
JUN
44%
28%
29%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2019 |
CAL
1 - 2
TOL
38%
27%
35%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2019 |
TOL
2 - 1
NAC
41%
28%
31%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2019 |
TOL
0 - 0
ARG
49%
27%
24%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2019 |
TOL
1 - 1
JUN
44%
28%
29%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2019 |
ARG
1 - 0
TOL
36%
27%
36%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |