Junior vs Deportes Tolima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
28.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
PAT
3 - 2
JUN
39%
28%
33%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2016 |
TOL
0 - 0
JUN
53%
25%
22%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2016 |
JUN
0 - 0
MWA
54%
24%
23%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2016 |
CHI
2 - 2
JUN
16%
28%
56%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2016 |
MWA
0 - 0
JUN
42%
27%
31%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2016 |
IND
1 - 1
TOL
41%
27%
32%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2016 |
TOL
0 - 0
JUN
53%
25%
22%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
HUI
1 - 2
TOL
31%
27%
41%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2016 |
EQU
2 - 2
TOL
27%
28%
45%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2016 |
TOL
0 - 2
COR
64%
22%
14%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |