Junior vs Deportes Tolima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
27.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2015 |
JUN
1 - 1
UNI
71%
18%
10%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
IND
1 - 2
JUN
47%
27%
27%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
NAC
2 - 2
JUN
55%
25%
20%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2015 |
UNI
0 - 2
JUN
26%
26%
48%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2015 |
JUN
3 - 1
SFE
43%
27%
31%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2015 |
PER
1 - 1
TOL
32%
27%
41%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2015 |
UNI
0 - 2
TOL
19%
26%
55%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
TOL
2 - 1
PAS
74%
17%
9%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2015 |
TOL
1 - 1
QUI
69%
19%
12%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
COR
1 - 1
TOL
18%
26%
56%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | -1 |