Junior vs Deportes Tolima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.2%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
20.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
MIL
2 - 0
JUN
33%
28%
40%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
JUN
1 - 0
PAS
67%
19%
14%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
CAR
1 - 0
JUN
26%
28%
46%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
QUI
1 - 0
JUN
32%
28%
40%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
JUN
4 - 2
ONC
66%
20%
15%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2007 |
PAS
2 - 0
TOL
31%
28%
42%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
TOL
3 - 0
PER
61%
23%
16%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
TOL
0 - 0
MIL
56%
24%
21%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
HUI
3 - 0
TOL
32%
27%
40%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
TOL
1 - 1
QUI
63%
23%
15%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |