Copa Colombia Quarter-finals
Global 2-2
Junior vs Deportes Quindío analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.6%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
11%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
SFE
2 - 2
JUN
40%
27%
33%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2009 |
QUI
0 - 0
JUN
35%
27%
38%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
JUN
3 - 1
CAR
75%
16%
9%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2009 |
IND
1 - 0
JUN
44%
26%
31%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
JUN
5 - 2
CHI
71%
18%
11%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Deportes Quindío
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
CHI
3 - 1
QUI
44%
27%
29%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2009 |
QUI
0 - 0
JUN
35%
27%
38%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
QUI
1 - 3
CHI
47%
27%
27%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2009 |
QUI
3 - 0
TFC
64%
23%
14%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
QUI
3 - 2
CAR
51%
27%
22%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |