Junior vs Barranquilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.9%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
16.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
6%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.1%
5%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
CAR
0 - 2
JUN
30%
28%
43%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2009 |
CHI
0 - 0
JUN
36%
28%
36%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
JUN
0 - 2
CAR
72%
18%
10%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2009 |
SAB
1 - 1
JUN
12%
21%
67%
|
81 | 55 | 26 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
CAL
2 - 1
JUN
42%
27%
32%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Barranquilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
BAR
1 - 1
RSC
43%
27%
30%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2009 |
AGU
2 - 0
BAR
48%
26%
26%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
BAR
0 - 0
REA
49%
27%
24%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2009 |
BAR
1 - 1
CAR
33%
27%
40%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
ALI
0 - 0
BAR
33%
27%
41%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |