Jumilla vs UD Melilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.5%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
12.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
46.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
15.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jumilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
MAL
0 - 0
JUM
25%
25%
50%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
JUM
1 - 0
ALM
51%
26%
24%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
REC
1 - 1
JUM
43%
28%
29%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
UCA
1 - 2
JUM
65%
22%
14%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
JUM
1 - 3
CAR
30%
32%
38%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
MEL
2 - 2
UCA
47%
30%
24%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2018 |
MEL
2 - 0
ONT
52%
26%
22%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
CAR
0 - 2
MEL
48%
26%
25%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
MEL
3 - 0
DBN
67%
23%
10%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
GRA
5 - 1
MEL
36%
28%
35%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | -2 |