Jumilla vs CF Base Abarán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.9%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
16%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jumilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 1
JUM
83%
11%
5%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
JUM
1 - 2
PUL
35%
26%
39%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
UCA
1 - 1
JUM
73%
17%
11%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
JUM
1 - 2
IMP
17%
24%
60%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 0
JUM
29%
25%
46%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
CF Base Abarán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
ABA
1 - 2
MIN
21%
23%
56%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
YEC
6 - 1
ABA
78%
15%
7%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
ABA
2 - 0
ESP
38%
26%
37%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 1
ABA
57%
24%
19%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
ABA
0 - 1
MSM
43%
25%
31%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | -1 |