Jumilla vs Calasparra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.3%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
11.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jumilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
OLI
2 - 2
JUM
36%
24%
39%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
JUM
3 - 2
UCA
38%
26%
36%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2002 |
LOR
4 - 0
JUM
81%
13%
6%
|
26 | 52 | 26 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2002 |
JUM
1 - 2
IND
32%
26%
42%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2002 |
MAZ
1 - 0
JUM
29%
25%
46%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Calasparra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
CAL
0 - 1
CAR
20%
23%
57%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
IMP
2 - 0
CAL
77%
15%
8%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2002 |
CAL
1 - 1
LAS
20%
23%
58%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2002 |
MOL
4 - 0
CAL
58%
21%
21%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2002 |
CAL
0 - 4
LOR
16%
22%
62%
|
20 | 42 | 22 | -1 |