Jumilla Atlético vs Villa de Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.6%
15%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15%
75.9%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16%
0-4
6.4%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.4%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.5%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jumilla Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
CDT
1 - 1
JUM
73%
16%
11%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
JUM
0 - 2
ABA
8%
14%
78%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
UMO
3 - 0
JUM
76%
15%
10%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
JUM
0 - 2
RAA
15%
18%
67%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
CHU
2 - 1
JUM
80%
14%
6%
|
11 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Villa de Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
VIL
2 - 1
CHU
42%
24%
34%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
UDL
1 - 0
VIL
31%
24%
45%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
VIL
0 - 4
PLU
61%
20%
19%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
YEC
4 - 2
VIL
17%
21%
62%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
CDB
1 - 3
VIL
16%
20%
64%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | 0 |