J1 League - 2nd Phase Final
Global 3-3
Júbilo Iwata vs Shimizu S-Pulse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
21.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Júbilo Iwata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1999 |
URA
1 - 2
JUB
28%
25%
47%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1999 |
JUB
0 - 4
KAA
56%
23%
21%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 1999 |
AVI
0 - 2
JUB
19%
22%
59%
|
65 | 40 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1999 |
CER
3 - 2
JUB
27%
24%
49%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1999 |
JUB
0 - 1
SHI
65%
20%
15%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Shimizu S-Pulse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1999 |
GAM
1 - 0
SHI
32%
25%
43%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1999 |
SHI
4 - 3
NAG
53%
24%
24%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 1999 |
URA
0 - 3
SHI
37%
26%
37%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 1999 |
SHI
2 - 0
KAA
44%
25%
31%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 1999 |
JUB
0 - 1
SHI
65%
20%
15%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +1 |