Júbilo Iwata vs Albirex Niigata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.6%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
19.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Júbilo Iwata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
FCT
0 - 0
JUB
27%
25%
48%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
JUB
1 - 2
SHI
74%
16%
9%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
VIS
1 - 2
JUB
16%
21%
62%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2004 |
JUB
1 - 1
KAR
83%
12%
5%
|
81 | 57 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
JUB
4 - 4
KAA
70%
18%
12%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Albirex Niigata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
ALB
1 - 0
KAA
57%
23%
20%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
ALB
3 - 0
OIT
75%
17%
8%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
SHI
2 - 4
ALB
23%
26%
51%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2004 |
ALB
3 - 2
SAN
66%
21%
13%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
URA
4 - 1
ALB
40%
25%
35%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | -1 |